"He warned that while it would be preferable to have American support and participation in a strike on Iran, Israel will not be afraid to go it alone. When it comes to decisions that have to do with our national security and our own survival, at best we may update the Americans that we are intending or planning or going to do something. It's not a precondition, [getting] an American agreement," he said."
Sunday, June 29, 2008
Israel Demonstrating Realism
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Soccer in Politics
"Perhaps it’s time to share the Zimbabweans’ pain, to help persuade Mr. Mbeki to bear down on its source by threatening to grab the world’s soccer ball and take our games elsewhere."
Sports rules the world...once again
Thursday, June 19, 2008
Fog of War Report
Assignment:
Propose a documentary movie based on an interview with one person or a group of people. Outline who you are choosing and why. Then explain how you would conduct a critical oral history interview of the subject(s).
What case are you choosing? Why is it important?
What lessons from the Fog of War book would be useful in examining this case? Why?
What new lessons might be learned by doing a critical history project?
How did the Fog of War influence your choice of subject and goals?
(Do not pick a President or similar leader of a state. Stay away from any event since 9/11.)
Tuesday, June 17, 2008
Intro to IR Summer Readings, Post 1
Thucydides, Melian Dialogue
Machiavelli, The Prince
Read parts of Chapter 5, 15, 17, 18, 21
Morgenthau, A Realist Theory of International Politics
Kennan, Diplomacy in the Modern World
No clear copy online, use these sources to get some background
Kennan Century
Kennan Obit
Excerpt from Book
Wolfers, National Security as an Ambiguous Symbol
Wilson, World Must be Made Safe for Democracy
14 Points Speech
US National Security Strategy
Tolstoy, Patriotism and Government
Zinn, Setting the Moral Equation
This version refers to Afghanistan, not Vietnam as reader version does
Thursday, February 7, 2008
Colombia Border Dispute
Sunday, January 27, 2008
Talkat UW

WISER Winter 2008
Brown Bag Series
Prof. Brandon Valeriano
Tuesday, February 5th
Gowen 1A
11:45am—1:00pm
W I S E R
“Latino Assimilation, Divided Loyalties, and the World Cup”
Professor Brandon Valeriano
University of Illinois at Chicago, Department of Political Science
Talk at USC
The event is 12:30pm-2pm, and is located in the Social Sciences (SOS) Building, Room B40 (see campus map). To park enter campus through Gate 3 off of Figueroa Blvd (between Jefferson Blvd and Exposition Blvd) and park in Lot PSX. The cost of parking is $8. From the parking lot, they would just have to walk across the quad and the SOS building is right there adjacent to the building with the big globe on top (we are down in the basement of the building). They can use this address if they need to mapquest driving directions: 3520 Trousdale Pkwy, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0037
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Chavez and FARC
FARC and Terrorism in LA Times
"But when Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez proposed this month that Colombia's largest rebel group be recognized as "belligerents," not terrorists, the reverberations reached to Washington and Europe, and relations between the two Latin American nations plunged to what one observer called perhaps the lowest point in their history.
But the Colombian government bitterly protested what it viewed as interference in its affairs. Colombian officials worry that Venezuela might take the further step of recognizing the rebels as a "state in formation," a status that France and Mexico granted the Sandinista rebels during the Nicaraguan civil war in the late 1970s.
Such a move would mean "giving the FARC diplomatic immunity, asylum rights, Venezuelan passports, and freedom from extradition," said former Colombian Defense Minister Rafael Pardo, now a consultant based in Bogota, the capital. "They would be giving the FARC a legitimacy, and that's very grave."
FARC rebels are thought to hold captive for barter or ransom about 700 civilians they have kidnapped in the last decade. Over the course of a 40-year war, they have killed hundreds of local and national politicians who didn't share their views.
In many areas of Colombia where they control the drug trade, rebels force poor farmers to grow coca. They burn vehicles that use roads they say are off-limits and deploy car bombs that sometimes kill passersby."
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
First Strike
"The west must be ready to resort to a pre-emptive nuclear attack to try to halt the "imminent" spread of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction, according to a radical manifesto for a new Nato by five of the west's most senior military officers and strategists.
Calling for root-and-branch reform of Nato and a new pact drawing the US, Nato and the European Union together in a "grand strategy" to tackle the challenges of an increasingly brutal world, the former armed forces chiefs from the US, Britain, Germany, France and the Netherlands insist that a "first strike" nuclear option remains an "indispensable instrument" since there is "simply no realistic prospect of a nuclear-free world"."
Sunday, January 20, 2008
Columbia's Big and 'Bad' Military
Key points:
"Seven years and $4.35 billion since the advent of a massive U.S. aid program, the Colombian military has been transformed from an outmatched "garrison force" that had yielded huge swaths of terrain to leftist guerrillas, to an aggressive force that has won back territory."
"The transformation, however, has had a dark side. Soldiers and police officers have committed rising numbers of human rights abuses, even as U.S. training intensifies, rights groups charge. During the five-year period that ended in June 2006, extrajudicial killings increased by more than 50% over the previous five years, according to figures compiled by human rights groups."
According to statistics compiled by the Colombian Commission of Jurists, a human rights group, the armed forces committed 1,035 extrajudicial killings in the five-year period that ended in June 2006, compared with 685 in the previous five years.
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Extra Credit Oppurtunity
Ticketmaster Link
Guidelines for Extra Credit
You may choose to either write a report on a movie or a book (treat an event or lecture as a book) for extra credit. This report is due when you turn in your final paper. The movie review will be worth up to 10 points; a book/event review will be worth up to 20 points.
Details:
Movie: The movie must deal with international latino issues (foriegn policy, conflict in latin america, migration, crime and latinos, or sport and latinos) including anything we have covered in class. No movies on interpersonal relationships or tenuous connections to international events will be accepted (Borat). The movie can come from any time period. It would be best to get the movie approved before you watch. You must write at least a 4 page paper that will include one half review of the movie and the issues it covers. The second half will consider how it is relevant to the class and what lessons we can take from it. This assignment will be graded like any other essay, 10 points are not guaranteed. I do NOT want a recap of the movie.
Book: The book must deal with contemporary international latino issues (see above). It should be published after 9/11. The same issues mentioned in the movie option are fair game. It would be best to get the book approved by me before attempting to write a review. Your review must be at least 7 pages. It should be completed as your normal required book report (1/3 review, 1/3 connection to international latino issues, and 1/3 criticisms or support). This assignment will be graded like any other essay, 20 points are not guaranteed. I do NOT want a recap of the book/event.
Monday, January 14, 2008
International Latino Politics Schedule
Jan 15: Latinos and National Interest
Jan 16: Latin American and the US
Jan 17: Mexico and the US
Jan 18: Importance of Conflict Studies
Jan 21: MLK Day, No Class
Jan 22: TJ Trip, No Class
Jan 23: Interventions
Jan 24: Drugs and Rivalries
Jan 25: International Migration Patterns, Test
Diversity = Good
Friday, January 11, 2008
IR Theory Links
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Obama solving Kenya's problems
"The political crisis here, which has claimed at least 486 lives and probably many more, seems to be raising wider concerns, with President Bush issuing a statement urging “both sides to engage in peaceful dialogue” and Senator Barack Obama speaking to opposition leaders by telephone.
Mr. Obama, Democrat from Illinois who is running for president, has close ties to Kenya. His father was Kenyan and a member of the same ethnic group as Kenya’s top opposition leader, Raila Odinga. Mr. Obama took a short break from campaigning on Monday and asked Mr. Odinga to meet directly with Kenya’s president without preconditions, a spokesman for Mr. Obama said."
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Multiculturalism and Foriegn Policy
Obama’s argument is about more than identity. He was intelligent and prescient about the costs of the Iraq War. But he says that his judgment was formed by his experience as a boy with a Kenyan father—and later an Indonesian stepfather—who spent four years growing up in Indonesia, and who lived in the multicultural swirl of Hawaii.
I never thought I’d agree with Obama. I’ve spent my life acquiring formal expertise on foreign policy. I’ve got fancy degrees, have run research projects, taught in colleges and graduate schools, edited a foreign-affairs journal, advised politicians and businessmen, written columns and cover stories, and traveled hundreds of thousands of miles all over the world. I’ve never thought of my identity as any kind of qualification.But any insights I have are thoroughly informed by the perspective and judgment that I’ve gained from being first a foreigner, then a foreign student, then an aspiring immigrant and now an American. My biography has helped me put my book learning in context, made for a richer interaction with foreigners and helped me see the world from many angles. So I understand what Obama means when he talks about his life and its lessons.
Sunday, January 6, 2008
Wow, a candidate who can speak well
“He just trounced her there because all that experience isn’t what they wanted to hear about — they wanted to see somebody who said they would do something new and change Washington,” Mr. Romney said. “And,” he added, “we cannot afford Barack Obama as the next president. He’s a very nice fellow and he’s a well-spoken fellow, but he’s never done it.”
I think I threw up a little in my mouth when I read that. What do people expect from Obama? When is the covert racism and lowed expectations going to end?
Monday, December 24, 2007
Richardson the Diplomat
NY Times article on diplomatic efforts
Monday, December 10, 2007
Sunday, December 9, 2007
Climate Change and War
Climate Conflicts
It stands to reason that the consequences scientists expect from global warming (droughts, floods, failed crops) would worsen the problems that can lead to conflict (poverty, inequality, refugee flows). But Idean Salehyan, a political scientist at the University of North Texas, warns against making too much of that point. There’s little empirical data linking scarcity to conflict, he argues; if anything, people tend to fight over the abundance of resources."
Wednesday, December 5, 2007
Iran
NIE Iran Report 2007
Although I do fail to see how this is a victory for Iran. Basically it just says, fine, we believe you.
Friday, November 30, 2007
IR as a field
JCR, IO, and JPR are the top three.
IPE/conflict and dem peace papers are well represented.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Who Killed Chavez?...No One
"Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said on Wednesday CNN may have been instigating his murder when the U.S. TV network showed a photograph of him with a label underneath that read "Who killed him?" The caption appeared to be a production mistake -- confusing a Chavez news item with one on the death of a football star. "
I want the state prosecutor to look into bringing a suit against CNN for instigating murder in Venezuela," he said. "... undoubtedly it is part of the psychological warfare."
Monday, November 26, 2007
ESPN on Gore's Peace Prize
"Those Hollywood Searchlights Around Gore's Home Sure Eat Power: Gore wasn't the first quack to win the Nobel Peace Prize, and history suggests he will not be the last. Gore spent eight years in the White House, and in that time took no meaningful action regarding greenhouse gases. The Clinton-Gore administration did not raise fuel economy standards for cars and trucks or propose domestic carbon trading. Though Clinton and Gore made a great show of praising the Kyoto Protocol, they refused even to submit the treaty to the Senate for consideration, let alone push for ratification. During his 2000 run for the presidency, Gore said little about climate change or binding global-warming reforms. In the White House and during his presidential campaign, Gore advocated no consequential action regarding greenhouse gases; then, there was a political cost attached. Once Gore was out of power and global-warming proposals no longer carried a political cost -- indeed, could be used for self-promotion -- suddenly Gore discovered his intense desire to demand that other leaders do what he had not! It is a triumph of postmodernism that Gore won the Nobel Peace Prize for no specific accomplishment other than making a movie of self-praise. Gore caused no peace nor led any reconciliation of belligerent parties nor performed any service to the dispossessed, the achievements the Peace Prize was created to honor. All Gore did was promote himself from Hollywood, and for this, he gets a Nobel. Very postmodern."
Sunday, November 25, 2007
Are You Experienced?

Here are a few of my favorite lines from this Dowd NYTimes article on Hilary.
- "She went on some first lady jaunts and made a good speech at a U.N. women’s conference in Beijing. But she was certainly not, as her top Iowa supporter, former governor Tom Vilsack claimed yesterday on MSNBC, “the face of the administration in foreign affairs.”
- Obama’s one-liner evoked something that rubs some people the wrong way about Hillary. Getting ahead through connections is common in life. But Hillary cloaks her nepotism in feminism.
- “With all due respect,” she told a crowd in Iowa. “I don’t think living in a foreign country between the ages of 6 and 10 is foreign policy experience." But is living in the White House between the ages of 45 and 53 foreign policy experience?"
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Decline of Tenure Faculty
"Professors with tenure or who are on a tenure track are now a distinct minority on the country’s campuses, as the ranks of part-time instructors and professors hired on a contract have swelled, according to federal figures analyzed by the AAUP. Mark B. Rosenberg, chancellor of the State University System of Florida, said that part-timers can provide real-world experience to students and fill gaps in nursing, math, accounting and other disciplines with a shortage of qualified faculty. He also said the shift could come with costs. Adjuncts are less likely to have doctoral degrees, educators say. They also have less time to meet with students, and research suggests that students who take many courses with them are somewhat less likely to graduate."
Why to avoid non-Ph.D. adjuncts:
Not connected with the currents of research and scholarship in the fieldNo time to prepare classes
Not trained in the basics of the field
Letters of recommendation carry little weight
No time to help students
Little authority as a part time worker
Lack of support staff and TAs
Degrees represent little extra time in the classroom
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Iran and the Election
"Just 4 percent of Democrats in Iowa and New Hampshire would favor a candidate who advocates using military action soon to prevent Iran from gaining nuclear weapons; 38 percent of New Hampshire Republicans and 31 percent of Iowa Republicans would support such a candidate."
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Extra Credit
Extra Credit Assignment
You may choose to either write a report on a movie or a book for extra credit. This report is due when you turn in your final test. The movie review will be worth up to 10 points; a book review will be worth up to 20 points.
Details:
Movie: The movie must deal with international security issues including anything we have covered in class. Foreign policy, war, conflict, arms, and historical animosity are all included. No movies on interpersonal relationships or tenuous connections to international events will be accepted (Borat). The movie can come from any time period. It would be best to get the movie approved before you watch. You must write at least a 4 page paper that will include one half review of the movie and the issues it covers. The second half will consider how it is relevant to the class and what lessons we can take from it. This assignment will be graded like any other essay, 10 points are not guaranteed. I do NOT want a recap of the movie.
Book: The book must deal with contemporary international security issues. It should be published after 9/11. The same issues mentioned in the movie option are fair game. It would be best to get the book approved by me before attempting to write a review. Your review must be at least 7 pages. It should be completed as your normal required book report (1/3 review, 1/3 connection to international security, and 1/3 criticisms or support). This assignment will be graded like any other essay, 20 points are not guaranteed. I do NOT want a recap of the book.
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Thursday, November 8, 2007
International Security
Nov 13 Territoriality and Territorial Issues
Nov 15 Alliances and Arms Races
Nov 20 Kantian Tripod
Nov 22 Thanksgiving
Nov 27 Tragedy, Nov 29 Bare Branches, Dec 4 Vulcan's, Dec 6 Assassin's
Final, Dec 14, 10:30am
Thursday, October 25, 2007
IPSA
SESSION II: 10:45-12:00 noon
PANEL I Session Title: Violence in the System
Organizer/Moderator: Brandon Valeriano
Location: White Oaks A
Topics & Presenters • Russia and the United States, 1991-2005: Regime Change and the Transformations of an Interstate Rivalry Vitaliy Voznyak and Brandon Valeriano, UIC •
Using a Fuzzy Future Model to Analyze Violence In Iraq Ribhi I. Salhi, Roosevelt University •
Been There, Done That: The Navajo War and Experiments in Navajo Nation-Building Chris Newman, Elgin Community College •
Terrorism at the Doorstep? A Comparative Look at Issue Salience for Local versus National Level Candidates Catherine Griffiths, UIC
Discussant: Brandon Valeriano, UIC
SESSION IV 3:45 – 5:00 p.m.
PANEL I Session Title: Urban Politics II: Race, Elections, and Inequality
Organizer/Moderator: Susan Gaffney, Governors State University
Location: White Oaks A
Topics & Presenters • The Influence of Public and Private Sector Development on Inequality in the Urban Spatial Structure Anthony Paul Andrews, Governors State University •
Conflict, Cooperation, or a Colorblind Environment? What Local Lawmakers Say About the Experience of Blacks Serving on City Councils Gregory Neddenriep, Northeastern University •
Competition for Office: Mayoral Elections Andrew McNitt, Eastern Illinois University and Chris Newman, Elgin Community College •
Latino Cultural Assimilation, Divided Loyalties, and World Cup Television Ratings Brandon Valeriano, UIC
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Territory and the Arctic

As some of you know, I was just in Canada. Read this while I was there, which goes over the coming territorial dispute over the rights to the Arctic.
Treading on Thin Ice
"In recent months, a Cold War-style game of imperial conquest has developed beneath the ice of the Arctic Ocean and the Northwest Passage, a submarine-driven dispute involving the United States, Norway, Denmark and especially Canada and Russia. Mr. Harper used this week's Throne Speech to signal the federal government was stepping up its presence in the Far North, pledging a bold and expensive military campaign to assert sovereignty over territory claimed by Canada, and areas of the Arctic that are still in dispute."
WWIII
Avoiding WWIII
"Despite the very real causes for U.S. complaint, the escalation of American threats against Iran is unwise. It is grossly premature. It is dangerous, as it greatly increases the likelihood of accidental escalation into a preventable war. It is alarmingly ill-timed, as an isolated United States wages simultaneous ground wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and both conflicts are going badly. And it is diplomatically counterproductive. Congress and U.S. opinion leaders should slam on the brakes -- if they can."
Preemption Gone Bad
WASHINGTON, Oct. 14 — It was President Bush who, a year after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, rewrote America’s national security strategy to warn any nation that might be thinking of trying to develop atomic weapons that it could find itself the target of a pre-emptive military strike.
But that was the fall of 2002, when the world looked very different from how it does in the fall of 2007. Now, the case of Syria, which Israeli and American analysts suspect was trying to build a nuclear reactor, has become a prime example of what can happen when Mr. Bush’s first-term instincts run headlong into second-term realities.
Five years later, dealing with nations that may have nuclear weapons ambitions — but are also staying within the letter of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty — looks a lot more complicated than it once did.
This time it was the Israelis who invoked Mr. Bush’s doctrine, determining that what they believed was a nascent Syrian effort to build a nuclear reactor could not be tolerated.
In a curious role reversal, some of Mr. Bush’s own top advisers were urging restraint before Israel bombed the site on Sept. 6, raising questions about whether the threat was too murky and too distant to warrant military action. Those are precisely the kinds of questions Mr. Bush’s critics say should have been raised about Iraq.
Minority Fellow
Minority Fellows Program APPLICATION DEADLINE APPROACHING: October 26
The APSA Minority Fellows Program, which was established in 1969 as an effort to increase the number of minority scholars in the discipline, has designated more than 300 fellows and contributed to the successful completion of doctoral political science programs for dozens of ndividuals. Fellows with stipends receive a $4,000 fellowship that is disbursed in two $2,000 payments--one at the end of their first graduate year and one at the end of their second--provided that they remain in good academic standing. Additional applicants who do not receive funds from the Association may also be recognized and recommended for admission and financial support to graduate political science programs. Awards are based on students' undergraduate course work, GPA, extracurricular activities, GRE scores, and recommendations from faculty.
The Minority Fellows program is designed primarily for minority students applying to enter a doctoral program in POLITICAL SCIENCE for the FIRST TIME. Additional eligibility criteria include:
- Applicants must be members of one of the following racial/ethnic minority groups: African Americans, Asian Pacific Americans, Latinos/as, and Native Americans (federal and state recognized tribes);
- Applicants must demonstrate an interest in teaching and potential for research in political science;
- Applicant must be a US Citizen at time of award; and
- Applicants must demonstrate financial need.
Monday, October 22, 2007
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Gore and Peace

As some of you know, I am really upset that Gore got the Nobel Peace Prize. Mainly because work on global warming has nothing to do with peace. The link is tenuous at best. This economist article makes some good points.
Evidently the committee has decided to redefine the award as the Nobel Prize for Making the World a Better Place in Some Unspecified Way."
I don't really appreciate being label a skeptic. I am an empiricist and there is little to no evidence of what the Nobel prize committee claims will occur. Resource wars have been rare to non-existent throughout international history. Migrations have not lead to widespread conflict, even refugee movements (although they are obviously harmful to the well being of peoples). I fail to see how the security of mankind is threatened through an increase in violence by global warming. Global warming is clearly an important problem, but it is a peace/war problem?
Sunday, September 30, 2007
Why I hate 'The War."

It very rarely details the diplomatic battles taking place, everything is either simply about the fighting or the people involved. I don't really care that some guys dad drove him to be shipped off to war. I wasn't very moved. I haven't even mentioned the lack of diverse perspectives in the film. Sure, they cover Japanese American's, but very briefly. Where are all the blacks and Latinos? This is needed especially if they are going to cover Alabama and California. Talk about "whitewashing" history.. Are you telling me there were no black soldiers that could have been profiled from Mobile?
Notice how the photos are blurred so you don't see faces or wounds? I am sure this is to keep this show for family viewing, yet it decreases the impact. You can hardly tell the images are blurred. I didn't notice for a bit until I looked closely, and consider I am watching in HD. Besides, the point is that war is brutal and devastating. We never get that point since all the images in the film are blurred, just like the whole enterprise. But then again, did we really need to see a dead starved baby? Why can't you show dead soldiers yet a dead baby is ok?
Why he did choose to point out that some solider was peeing in a photo? Why did they have some creepy 'junglevision' camera work that was mixed in with old photos?
More to come...I am going to keep watching because its my job. But really, I would rather watch Two and Half Men at this point. Its more intellectually engaging.
Extras
Are you kidding me? The extra Latino coverage started out great with a focus on the Marine Raiders, my grandfathers old unit. But did they really have to focus on the atrocities or the fact that the Latino guy wished his best friend would die from his wounds (he didn't know it was his best friend at the time and he was screaming, preventing the unit from sleeping). Thats like making OJ or the KKK the main contributions of black and Anglo culture in a documentary 100 years from now.
Nice NYTimes article that makes fun of the American-centric perspective of the documentary.
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Iran Vacation Fall 07?

It should not be surprising that the USA is planning on attacking Iran. Even France is warming to the idea. What is surprising and disheartening the lack of support internally for an attack and also that it seems this will be an Air Force only plan. Limited wars do not work!
"The US president faces strong opposition to military action, however, within his own joint chiefs of staff. “None of them think it is a good idea, but they will do it if they are told to,” said a senior defence source."